What is the probability of an advance chess player rated about 1700... - XP Math - Forums

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 07-29-2007 #1 cooliebigdogtheoriginal Guest   Posts: n/a What is the probability of an advance chess player rated about 1700... ...beating a Master rated about 2422 Glicko?
 07-29-2007 #2 tyler s Guest   Posts: n/a i play chess and i **** but i would say the probobillity is 3/10000 chance of winning.
 07-29-2007 #3 Jesse & Cynthia Guest   Posts: n/a Poison him first and your chances would probably go up considerably.
 07-29-2007 #4 Mmontalvo Guest   Posts: n/a I believe the assumption of rating would allow you to beat someone 1 class higher than you 1 out of 4. Based on this assumption and you being a class B player then:Beating an A player: 1/4 = 0.25 = 25%Beating an Expert: 1/16 = 0.0625 = 6.25%Beating a Master: 1/64 = 0.0156 = 1.5%Beating a Senior Master = 1/256 = .0039 = 0.39%But this is also assuming that 1/4 is correct. I heard this from a Master and it seems somewhat realistic. So the poison idea might be your best chance.
 07-29-2007 #5 Mister Nice Guy Guest   Posts: n/a Between 1 and 2 percent. The formula is given in the link. Just punch in the numbers. en.wikipedia.org
 07-29-2007 #6 William B Guest   Posts: n/a What is "Glicko"

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