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Old 07-26-2007   #1
Dr. Psychosis
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Default Do you think probability is an illusion?

According to probability, the chances of flipping a coin and it turning up heads is a 50/50 chance. But, if I somehow could control all the conditions that affect the flip and made sure they were the same each time, wouldn't heads keep coming up? So, isn't probability just another name for human error?To elaborate, here's what I mean: The probability of getting heads on a coin is 50/50. But if I had the coin in the same starting position, tossed it with the same amount of force, letting it flip the same amount of times, and catching it the same way, then you'd get the same result, wouldn't you? Nothing is skewed, probability is the same, and chaos won't cause the universe to collapse. It seems to me that probabilty wouldn't even exist without human interference.

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